US, China & India Peace

The recent stand-off between India and China is deeply troubling, alarming and sad. I had long time back in my article on GRIPEN stated that any relationship with Trump administration would be troubling. The stand-off is mostly a side effect’s of Trump administration to corner China.  I sincerely hope that the Democrats take cognizance that neither a tech cold war nor targeting persistently a particular country helps. I had the privilege to study in China, Singapore and the US and understand a bit of American and Chinese mindset.

First, the three top influential leaders on this decade are Obama, Shinzo Abe and Xi Jinping. Many respect China for its achievement in economic growth, technology, sustainability and philanthropy. China must realize that with superpower status brings increased accountability for itself and exponential jealousy and envy from others. These are the same forces which hate the Americans so there is a common ground between the US and China. But then there are red flags also among Chinese policies which can driven even the most ardent well wishes of China. It’s the prerogative of China to think about it.

Second, the Democrats will win the upcoming election and  a trade agreement between the US and China is all set to happen next year.

Third, India is not even a close competitor of China in economic growth. One doesn’t need labour reforms but a decisiveness, well rounded approach and mindset to achieve world class economic growth backed by a system. It’s going to take awhile so sweat there. On the value chain India will only have a measured gain and China might become the first country to beat the middle income trap.

Finally, a prolonged stand off and warlike situation is the worst option in a game theory play off. Its hurts China even more since they are directly playing into hands of external forces which want this to happen. Further, both the countries must neither nudge or provoke the situation to escalate more. The pandemic already has created world wide havoc and its time to sit together and work out the best and optimal plan ahead.

Roots of friendship between India and China are centuries old so let’s keep them intact in spite of differences. Let common sense and tranquility prevail. Differences can be worked out in time.

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