Nishant Malhotra Founder of Middle Road OPC Pvt Ltd & The middle Road platform talks about the startup

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COVID-19 What did we learn?

The pandemic is pushing millions of people into poverty, increasing unemployment rate apart from the unmeasurable mental trauma of suffering and loss of loved ones. More than 3.3 million people have died of COVID-19 with unofficial figures much higher. This publication includes detailed analysis of data from various countries to compare how selected nations fared comparatively in fighting the COVID-19 crisis. During the ongoing pandemic, some countries stood out for deploying techniques and processes to handle the COVID-19 crisis much better than others. The purpose is to understand how effective practices implemented by selected countries to stem the proliferation of the novel coronavirus could be shared for a better social outcome globally. These steps range through testing and social distance norms, national or regional lockdowns, self-isolation of the population, travel restrictions, contact tracing, genome sequencing, and vaccination drives for adult populations across nations. The publication covers a few countries significantly the United Kingdom and China to understand the impact of vaccination and Wuhan Intervention especially lockdown in bringing down new daily cases and deaths, flattening the total COVID-19 cases curve, saving lives through vaccines etc.

The study includes a selected group of countries due to limitations of employees at Middle Road OPC Pvt Ltd. Nishant Malhotra is the sole founder of the organization and the sole contributor of all the content at The middle Road platform unless otherwise stated. Feel free to reach out to if you would either want to feature as a guest author (read guidelines) on topics related to the mission of the organization or bring to notice insightful analysis on the pandemic with due credit.

How did countries like New Zealand, Vietnam, China, Australia, Singapore, Japan to name a few do an excellent job in containing the spread of the novel coronavirus without using vaccinations while many others faltered? Why do some countries have so few cases and deaths per million, example Vietnam has 0.36 deaths per million but for many countries this figure is in thousands ? How did some countries flatten the curve of daily cases and deaths due to COVID-19 ? Why did Sweden perform worse among the Nordic countries in handling the pandemic ?  Why are daily COVID-19 cases in India rising at an alarming rate ?  Why an effective, well planned and executed vaccination rollout is a gamechanger in stopping the pandemic ?  

You will find answers to many of these questions after reading this work which has more than 4000 words.  

There is an add-on note on simple regression analysis to understand the causality between total number of cases per million and total number of deaths per million using data for selected countries. Tutorials on regression will start after the Stabilization series kickstarts under the Macroeconomics on The middle Road under the tutorial section.

COVID-19 has made the spread of diseases through viruses mainstream dinner tables conversations, the pandemic has brought down governments for mishandling of the novel coronavirus crisis, attracted more capital for its vaccination research through the public-private partnership than any other vaccination program in history. The investment in Research & Development led to the fastest release of effective vaccines in public arena. More than 1.2 billion vaccines have been administered globally with 8.28% of the population receiving at least one dose of the vaccine as of 8 May 2021 China leads in the total number of vaccinations administered to its population at 280 million (WHO) with some figures shooting upwards of 300 million. The US is close behind and gaining speed with ~220 million doses plus and India with 160 million-plus jabs are the top three countries in the world in administering total vaccines to their population, respectively. (Data as of 8 May, 2021). However, statistics for vaccination as a percent of its population or adult population showcases a different picture. Refer graph below.

Key policy enabler for economies: During times of extreme distress to the healthcare system have a decisive plan to upscale exponentially critical healthcare facilities and infrastructure within 48 hours. It could range from setting up makeshift hospitals in stadiums to doubling the existing staff of healthcare personals, ancillary medical requirements, or driving massive vaccination drives for the city or region’s population. A community model to drive smaller initiatives through champions can be used using a multilayered model. This model could have been useful for New York, the US, and New Delhi, India. 

Vaccination as percent of adult population for the US is close to 50 percent (percent of its population) as both China (20 percent plus) and India (10 percent plus) are hindered by their population size. India can ill afford to be complacent towards the vaccination drive as it reels under the steep rise in COVID-19 cases in the second wave. China, on the other hand, has been exceptional in handling the COVID-19 crisis, flattening the curve of total COVID19 cases long time back.

A key insight with the quick and effective rollout of vaccinations since January points to the efficacy of the vaccination drive in saving lives by reducing new COVID-19 cases or curing COVID-19 infected patients who had at least one dose of the vaccine (citation needed for underlined sentence).

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